Droughts over Pakistan: possible cycles, precursors and associated mechanisms

نویسندگان

چکیده

In the recent few decades, climate variability had severely affected socio-economic and environmental conditions worldwide. Frequent shifts in atmospheric circulation patterns affect large parts of globe, predominantly arid semi-arid regions facing severe to moderate droughts. Therefore, precursors drought events their associated mechanisms are important understand. This study explores possible cycles precursor that might be employed for predicting upcoming droughts Pakistan. Standardize precipitation index single Z-index used detect rank years. Moreover, composite analysis is carried out explore large-scale anomalies related extreme events. Results demonstrate highly correlated with wind intrinsic weather system Pacific Indian Oceans. analyzed air temperature, sea level pressure geopotential height average time-period January March, surface temperature from October December, vectors March May as could predict occurrence information significance policymakers plan change adaptive measures accordingly.

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ژورنال

عنوان ژورنال: Geomatics, Natural Hazards and Risk

سال: 2021

ISSN: ['1947-5705', '1947-5713']

DOI: https://doi.org/10.1080/19475705.2021.1938703